Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000739 0.000844 0.000955 0.001082 0.001221 0.001369 0.001538
2025-03-23 0.000570 0.000714 0.000878 0.001077 0.001309 0.001570 0.001884
2025-03-30 0.000480 0.000642 0.000834 0.001077 0.001371 0.001714 0.002141
2025-04-06 0.000407 0.000578 0.000789 0.001066 0.001413 0.001830 0.002362
2025-04-13 0.000347 0.000520 0.000744 0.001046 0.001437 0.001918 0.002546
2025-04-20 0.000315 0.000495 0.000735 0.001069 0.001512 0.002069 0.002809
2025-04-27 0.000285 0.000469 0.000722 0.001084 0.001575 0.002203 0.003053
2025-05-04 0.000251 0.000433 0.000692 0.001072 0.001599 0.002286 0.003232
2025-05-11 0.000219 0.000397 0.000658 0.001052 0.001610 0.002351 0.003385
2025-05-18 0.000201 0.000380 0.000650 0.001066 0.001666 0.002476 0.003620
2025-05-25 0.000182 0.000359 0.000635 0.001068 0.001705 0.002577 0.003826
2025-06-01 0.000158 0.000327 0.000598 0.001036 0.001693 0.002607 0.003932
2025-06-08 0.000136 0.000297 0.000564 0.001006 0.001682 0.002639 0.004045
2025-06-15 0.000122 0.000279 0.000548 0.001004 0.001713 0.002729 0.004240
2025-06-22 0.000110 0.000264 0.000535 0.001003 0.001744 0.002820 0.004438
2025-06-29 0.000098 0.000247 0.000516 0.000993 0.001761 0.002890 0.004605
2025-07-06 0.000086 0.000228 0.000493 0.000974 0.001762 0.002936 0.004739
2025-07-13 0.000081 0.000223 0.000495 0.000996 0.001827 0.003078 0.005014
2025-07-20 0.000075 0.000216 0.000492 0.001010 0.001880 0.003203 0.005266
2025-07-27 0.000067 0.000202 0.000476 0.000998 0.001891 0.003264 0.005425
2025-08-03 0.000059 0.000187 0.000455 0.000979 0.001889 0.003304 0.005553
2025-08-10 0.000055 0.000182 0.000453 0.000992 0.001940 0.003426 0.005805
2025-08-17 0.000050 0.000174 0.000445 0.000995 0.001972 0.003520 0.006017